According to the CME "Fed Watch", the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 94%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 6%. The probability of keeping current interest rates unchanged in May is 67.8%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut is 30.5%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point cut is 1.7%. (Jin Ten)
According to the CME "Fed Watch", the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 97.5%, and the probability of a 25 basis point cut is 2.5%. The probability of maintaining current interest rates unchanged in May is 80.8%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut is 18.8%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point cut is 0.4%.
Important news 1. The one-year and five-year LPR remain unchanged. 2. The reverse repurchase operation of the People's Bank of China achieved a net refund of 800 million yuan on the same day. 3. The expected GDP growth target of Guangzhou in 2025 is about 5%. 4. National Development and Reform Commission: It is planned to revise and expand the "Catalogue of Industries Encouraging Foreign Investment" with relevant parties. 5. Ministry of Commerce: All departments will promote the issuance of a nu...
On February 20, the People's Bank of China kept the quoted interest rate (LPR) for one-year and five-year loans unchanged at 3.1% and 3.6%, respectively.
According to the CME "Fed Watch", the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 97.5%, and the probability of a 25 basis point cut is 2.5%. The probability of maintaining current interest rates unchanged in May is 88.9%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut is 10.8%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point cut is 0.2%.
According to the CME "Fed Watch", the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 97.5%, and the probability of a 25 basis point cut is 2.5%. The probability of maintaining current interest rates unchanged in May is 86.1%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut is 13.6%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point cut is 0.3%.
According to the CME "Fed Watch", the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 97.5%, and the probability of a 25 basis point cut is 2.5%. The probability of maintaining current interest rates unchanged in May is 79.2%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut is 20.3%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point cut is 0.5%.
According to CME "Fed Watch": The probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in March is 97%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 3%. The probability of keeping current interest rates unchanged in May is 81%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut is 18.5%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point cut is 0.5%. (Jin Ten)
President Trump: Expect tariffs to remain in place in many countries; don't expect any exemptions or relief.
According to the CME "Fed Watch", the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 97.5%, and the probability of a 25 basis point cut is 2.5%. The probability of maintaining current interest rates unchanged in May is 86.8%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut is 12.9%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point cut is 0.3%.
According to the CME "Fed Watch", the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 97.5%, and the probability of a 25 basis point cut is 2.5%. The probability of maintaining current interest rates unchanged in May is 86.8%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut is 12.9%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point cut is 0.3%.
According to the CME "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in March is 95.5%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 4.5%. The probability of maintaining current interest rates unchanged in May is 78.3%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut is 20.9%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point cut is 0.8%.
According to the CME "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in March is 93.5%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 6.5%. The probability of maintaining current interest rates unchanged in May is 73.2%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut is 25.4%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point cut is 1.4%.
Federal Reserve Goolsby: We may keep interest rates on hold for now. The neutral equilibrium point for interest rates has fallen.
According to the CME "Fed Watch", the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 85.5%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 14.5%. The probability of maintaining current interest rates unchanged in May is 61.1%, the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point cut is 34.7%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point cut is 4.1%.